Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.242145 1.449715 1.680860 1.957306 2.278965 2.641475 3.081153
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.907319 1.182784 1.524347 1.978907 2.568174 3.306678 4.303506
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.695158 0.980403 1.362170 1.910312 2.677553 3.714284 5.223910
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.615485 0.925261 1.366342 2.039854 3.043008 4.483635 6.714159
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.508350 0.807714 1.257471 1.981870 3.120469 4.844101 7.658379
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.424423 0.708622 1.156588 1.913368 3.161470 5.141934 8.532660
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.360178 0.629200 1.072234 1.854010 3.201167 5.432541 9.421722
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.324614 0.591275 1.048542 1.888541 3.395813 5.993149 10.825506
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.308667 0.584569 1.075847 2.012783 3.758583 6.879807 12.906501
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.285523 0.561028 1.069377 2.073816 4.013228 7.603258 14.782414
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.261117 0.531352 1.047133 2.101123 4.206193 8.233591 16.559808
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.236264 0.497108 1.011284 2.096252 4.334163 8.752452 18.180972
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.213272 0.464137 0.975015 2.088532 4.461291 9.296811 19.951134
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.195465 0.439656 0.953032 2.108003 4.648587 9.989037 22.129302
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.171855 0.399102 0.891806 2.034784 4.627507 10.243314 23.401132
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.167904 0.401967 0.924548 2.172715 5.088078 11.585146 27.251312
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.149536 0.368822 0.872671 2.110972 5.087306 11.907717 28.822378
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.132680 0.336849 0.819212 2.038029 5.050018 12.141157 30.213028
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.118449 0.309281 0.772491 1.974823 5.027207 12.404240 31.708203
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.111486 0.299092 0.766496 2.011593 5.255697 13.296539 34.880205
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.110091 0.303174 0.796478 2.143889 5.743643 14.885942 40.036445
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.105251 0.297377 0.800496 2.208877 6.065091 16.095269 44.360661
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.099107 0.287137 0.791566 2.237954 6.294552 17.095100 48.256500